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the international geopolitical risk and uncertainty in global economic policy will lead to changes in the international …. Especially after 2016, the impacts of the double "uncertainty" high-risk events should be monitored closely. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497082
This study empirically examines the fragility of five major Asian economies (China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, and South Korea) to economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of US and EU, and oil prices in different state of the economies. To investigate these dynamics, we use the relative tail dependence...
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This study uses the time-varying parameter/stochastic volatility vector autoregression (TVP-SV-VAR) model to explore … the impact of uncertainty risk on oil prices. Economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk were used as proxy … variables for economic and political uncertainty risk. The study results indicate that oil price is driven jointly by two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497145
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Purpose Despite the growing recognition of the complex interplay between macroeconomic shock indexes and stock market … all-encompassing examination of spillovers and the connectedness between the aforementioned macroeconomic shock indexes … bearish and bullish market conditions. It was also observed that, among the macroeconomic shock indicators, FSI exerted the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047533
The aim of this paper is to investigate how major net oil exporter economies react to oil price shocks. We contribute to the literature by considering, at the same time, the possible nonlinearity and asymmetry of this relationship with respect to sign, size and causes of the oil price shocks, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519959