Showing 1 - 10 of 69,404
This paper investigates the presence of housing bubbles in Australia at the national, capital city, and local … employ the recursive evolving method proposed by Phillips et al. (2015a,b) for the detection of explosive bubbles. While the … bubbles identified for Sydney and Melbourne during the recent rapid housing price expansions from 2013 to 2017. The LGA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863721
We introduce a novel quantitative methodology to detect real estate bubbles and forecast their critical end time, which … calibration with respect to bootstrapped residuals. We make three main contributions to the literature of real estate bubbles … critical times of historical housing price bubbles in the U.S., Hong Kong, U.K. and Canada. Second, the LPPLS detection methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761282
Borrowers in states with non-recourse mortgage law face limited liability on their mortgage loans. We show that non-recourse law causes larger swings in housing prices by encouraging speculative investments when housing markets are in a boom cycle. We find that mortgage lending pricing does not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856960
speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period 1987Q3 - 2012Q4. Overall, we find that actual house prices are not … significantly disconnected from underlying economic fundamentals. Thus, there is no evidence of speculative house price bubbles in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764458
This paper proposes a framework for analysing speculative bubbles in housing markets. The formation of bubbles is … autonomous bubbles, and the individual connectivity index identifying systematically important sub-markets. We illustrate our … Melbourne bubble network is an autonomous one, speculative bubbles in the Sydney market are highly interconnected, and show a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927111
This paper proposes a framework for analysing speculative bubbles in housing markets. The formation of bubbles is … autonomous bubbles, and the individual connectivity index identifying systematically important sub-markets. We illustrate our … Melbourne bubble network is an autonomous one, speculative bubbles in the Sydney market are highly interconnected, and show a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924880
speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period 1987Q3-2012Q4. Overall, we find that actual house prices are not … significantly disconnected from underlying economic fundamentals. Thus, there is no evidence of speculative house price bubbles in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079871
Generalized sup ADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips, Shi, and Yu (Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674010
Generalized supADF (GSADF) test procedure developed by Phillips et al. (Testing for multiple bubbles: Historical episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011812671
This paper investigates the role of speculators in the housing market, specifically their contribution to price overreaction through positive feedback trading (or momentum trading). We exploit a unique dataset of condominium transactions in a residential real estate market where transaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115047