In this paper we study the modeling and computational bene fits of using Lévy processes and the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) in the valuation of gas storage assets and, from a practitioners perspective, in creating market consistent valuations and hedging portfolios. The valuation methodology...

Quantitative trading in oil based markets are investigated over 2003-2010, with focus on WTI, Brent, heating oil and gas oil. A total of 861 spreads are considered. A novel optimal statistical arbitrage trading model is applied, with generalised stepwise procedures controlling for data snooping...

As the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) prepares for the post-2012 Phase III period that runs to 2020, a timely assessment of European Union Allowance (EUA) and Certified Emissions Reduction (CER) price interactions over the Phase II period is presented. Vector autoregression and...

Insights are offered into the interactions of EUA and CER emissions prices with key energy markets across the EU. A wide range of regional gas and power markets, in addition to global oil markets, are considered. Power prices are broken down by base, peak and off-peak to account for regional...

WTI and Brent futures are tested for the presence of psychological barriers around $10 price levels applying a multiple hypothesis testing approach for robustness. Psychological barriers are present in Brent pricing but not in WTI pricing, which is argued, based on recent behavioural finance...

WTI and Brent futures are tested for the presence of psychological barriers around $10 price levels applying a multiple hypothesis testing approach for robustness. Psychological barriers are present in Brent pricing but not in WTI pricing, which is argued, based on recent behavioural finance...

Two alternative approaches to identifying a model confidence set (MCS) are contrasted. Together with a specification of the established MCS test, we present a new version of a test that identifies a model set satisfying the MCS requirements and is characterised by an alternative model ranking...

We propose a new real options analysis method for evaluating R&D investments using a novel Poisson process to simulate the discrete progress typical of R&D breakthroughs. We take explicit account of the technical risk of an R&D project, while the market risk and the effect of learning-by-doing...

We propose a new real options analysis method for evaluating R&D investments using a novel Poisson process to simulate the discrete progress typical of R&D breakthroughs. We take explicit account of the technical risk of an R&D project, while the market risk and the effect of learning-by-doing...

The difficulty of beating the random walk in forecasting spot foreign exchange rates is well documented, with the restricted VECM of Clarida and Taylor (1997) providing the primary challenge. We seek to extract the informational content of the forward rate term structure through the...