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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547707
volatility estimation is considered. The empirical analysis is performed on futures contracts of both the Standard and Poors 500 … importance of taking asymmetric effects (leverage effects) into account in volatility forecasts when it comes to risk management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292347
Long memory is found in the conditional volatilities of financial returns measured at daily or higher frequencies, as well as in residual cross-products in bivariate series. We test for long memory in conditional correlations by extending the fractionally integrated GARCH model to include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179077
interdependence (in both direction) and therefore symmetric spillovers among the stock return volatility in the spot and futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244650
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011550607
studyanalyzes the stock market volatility in three distinct regimes (accumulation or distri-bution - regime 1; big-move - regime 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012513279
This research examines the correlations between the return volatility of cryptocurrencies, global stock market indices …, and the spillover effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we employed a two-stage multivariate volatility … and respond well to previous shocks. As a result, financial assets have low unconditional volatility and the lowest risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014295230
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns … ; volatility ; stock market ; transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942099
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944