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whether the use of disaggregated information increases the forecast accuracy of the aggregate. For this purpose, the out …-ofsample forecasts for the aggregated employment forecast are compared to and contrasted with forecasts based on a vector … employment forecast. Moreover, fluctuation-window tests help identify the phases during which disaggregation increases forecast …
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This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
Ostdeutschlands Regionen stellen als Bindeglied zwischen dem westlichen Europa und den mittel- und osteuropäischen Ländern für die Regionalforschung ein interessantes Forschungsobjekt dar. Hierbei ist es von herausragendem Interesse, inwieweit sich die ostdeutsche Abwanderung nach...
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Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets,...
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better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs … regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government … forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more …
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