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We consider an approximate posterior approach to making joint probabilistic inference on the action and the associated risk in data mining. The posterior probability is based on a profile empirical likelihood, which imposes a moment restriction relating the action to the resulting risk, but does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014186158
This paper addresses the estimation of the nonparametric conditional moment restricted model that involves an infinite dimensional parameter g0. We estimate it in a quasi-Bayesian way based on the limited information likelihood, and investigate the impact of three types of priors on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014186163
This paper addresses the estimation of the nonparametric conditional moment restricted model that involves an infinite-dimensional parameter g0. We estimate it in a quasi-Bayesian way, based on the limited information likelihood, and investigate the impact of three types of priors on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113752
A nonparametric and locally adaptive Bayesian estimator is proposed for estimating a binary regression. Flexibility is obtained by modeling the binary regression as a mixture of probit regressions with the argument of each probit regression having a thin plate spline prior with its own smoothing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726453
In this paper we propose Bayesian and frequentist approaches to ecological inference, based on RxC contingency tables, including a covariate. The proposed Bayesian model extends the binomial-beta hierarchical model developed by King, Rosen and Tanner (1999) from the 2x2 case to the RxC case. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773028
Inference on partially identified models plays an important role in econometrics. This paper proposes novel Bayesian procedures for these models when the identified set is closed and convex and so is completely characterized by its support function. We shed new light on the connection between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011687923
We consider inference about coefficients on a small number of variables of interest in a linear panel data model with additive unobserved individual and time specific effects and a large number of additional time-varying confounding variables. We allow the number of these additional confounding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011687926
It has been well known in financial economics that factor betas depend on observed instruments such as firm specific characteristics and macroeconomic variables, and a key object of interest is the effect of instruments on the factor betas. One of the key features of our model is that we specify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012028605
Common high-dimensional methods for prediction rely on having either a sparse signal model, a model in which most parameters are zero and there are a small number of non-zero parameters that are large in magnitude, or a dense signal model, a model with no large parameters and very many small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445720
Common high-dimensional methods for prediction rely on having either a sparse signal model, a model in which most parameters are zero and there are a small number of non-zero parameters that are large in magnitude, or a dense signal model, a model with no large parameters and very many small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445767