This paper examines the returns to investment strategies based on the interactions between value-to-market indicators and corporate financing transactions that increase or decrease the firm's outstanding equity, i.e., equity issues and repurchases. Portfolio-level analyses and firm-level...

This paper investigates the risk versus mispricing explanation of superior returns to contrarian strategies using the interactions between value-to-market indicators and corporate financing transactions that increase or decrease a firm's outstanding equity. Portfolio-level analyses and...

This paper provides an explanation of investing in stock market anomalies in an expected utility paradigm. Classical selection rules fail to provide a preference for high expected return portfolios. The paper utilizes the almost dominance rules to examine the practice of investing in size,...

This paper provides an explanation of investing in stock market anomalies in an expected utility paradigm. Classical selection rules fail to provide a preference for high expected return portfolios. The paper utilizes the almost dominance rules to examine the practice of investing in size,...

This paper provides new evidence on the time-series predictability of stock market returns by introducing a test of nonlinear mean reversion. The performance of extreme daily returns is evaluated in terms of their power to predict short- and long-horizon returns on various stock market indices...

This paper investigates the significance of an intertemporal relation between expected return and risk for the futures markets. The paper not only takes a look at the domestic futures, but the relationship between conditional risk and return is examined in international futures markets as well....

This paper investigates the predictability of variance and value at-risk (VaR) measures in international stock markets. We use daily stock market returns for G7 countries (the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Japan, Canada, France, Italy) and generate the realized variance and VaR...

There exists a small sample bias in predictive regressions, when a rate of return is regressed on a lagged stochastic regressor, and the regression disturbance is correlated with the regressors' innovations. Although this bias can be a serious concern in time-series predictive regressions, it is...

This paper examines the intertemporal relation between downside risk and expected stock returns. Value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, and tail risk are used as measures of downside risk to determine the existence and significance of a risk-return tradeoff. We find a positive and significant...

This paper provides an analysis of the predictability of stock returns using market, industry, and firm-level earnings. Contrary to Lamont (1998), we find that neither dividend payout ratio nor the level of aggregate earnings can forecast the excess market return. We show that these variables do...