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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008988598
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565160
In this paper we consider modeling and forecasting of large realized covariance matrices by penalized vector autoregressive models. We propose using Lasso-type estimators to reduce the dimensionality to a manageable one and provide strong theoretical performance guarantees on the forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433899
The Markowitz mean-variance framework is the foundation of modern portfolio theory. One problem with this approach, however, is how sample covariance matrices tend to underestimate risk. Since the biases of optimized portfolios are closely related to eigenfactor portfolios, we present a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121223
In a high dimensional linear regression model, we propose a new procedure for testing statistical significance of a subset of regression coefficients. Specifically, we employ the partial covariances between the response variable and the tested covariates to obtain a test statistic. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082410
datasets, Gilles turns to the joint problem of volatility and correlation. Certainly, one challenge in the study is to define …, where we concentrate on a small number of stable directions for correlation or covariance. Gilles's deeper investigation … where correlation and volatility are both dynamic quantities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155918
The estimation of the covariances of high-frequency asset prices is problematic because of asynchronous trading and market microstructure noise. In the last years, both parametric and non-parametric methods have been proposed in order to handle these effects. Little attention has instead been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841029
akin to the consistent dynamic conditional correlation model of the multivariate GARCH literature, and estimation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842834
This paper proposes a three-step estimation strategy for dynamic conditional correlation models. In the first step … usual normalization. In the third step, the two-step conditional covariance and correlation matrices are regularized by … model. This yields the final, third step smoothed estimate of the conditional covariance and correlation matrices. Due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899132