In this paper, we consider the parametric estimation problem for continuous time stochastic processes described by general first-order nonlinear stochastic differential equations of the Ito type. We characterize the likelihood function of a discretely-sampled set of observations as the solution...

A test for long-run memory that is robust to short-range dependence is developed. It is a simple extension of Mandelbrot's "range over standard deviation" or R/S statistic, for which the relevant asymptotic sampling theory is derived via functional central limit theory. This test is applied to...

Culture is a potent force in shaping individual and group behavior, yet it has received scant attention in the context of financial risk management and the recent financial crisis. I present a brief overview of the role of culture according to psychologists, sociologists, and economists, and...

The centrality of the United States in the global financial system is taken for granted, but its response to recent political and epidemiological events has suggested that China now holds a comparable position. Using minute-by-minute data from 2012 to 2020 on the financial performance of twelve...

We apply machine-learning techniques to construct nonlinear nonparametric forecasting models of consumer credit risk. By combining customer transactions and credit bureau data from January 2005 to April 2009 for a sample of a major commercial bank’s customers, we are able to construct...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse regulatory reform in the wake of the financial crisis of 2007-2008.Design/methodology/approach – The paper proposes a framework for regulatory reform that begins with the observation that financial manias and panics cannot be legislated away,...

Market prices are well known to efficiently collect and aggregate diverse information regarding the value of commodities and assets. The role of markets has been particularly suitable to pricing financial securities. This article provides an alternative application of the pricing mechanism to...