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In this study two approaches are applied for the prediction of the economic recession or expansion periods in USA. The … of the two approaches is evaluated during the out-of sample period 2007-2010. The estimation results show that the ANFIS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172190
only USA but the rest of the world. The wrong government policies and the regulations in bond market among others lead to … order to predict the economic recession or expansion periods in USA. The first one is the Logit model, the second is the … in-sample period 1913-2005 and we test the models in the out-of sample period 2006-2009. The estimation results indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972310
with random effects, while the in-sample and out-sample forecasting performance is higher in random effects estimation than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137778
Within bank activities, which is normally defined as the joint exercise of savings collection and credit supply, risk-taking is natural, as in many human activities. Among risks related to credit intermediation, credit risk assumes particular importance. It is most simply defined as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012321142
using complete data methods. Estimation and inference uses Reiter's (Survey Methodology 2003) formulae. Using Current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003810324
using complete data methods. Estimation and inference uses Reiter's (Survey Methodology 2003) formulae. Using Current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818749
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009562195
In this paper we present the neuro-fuzzy technology for the prediction of economic crisis of USA economy. Our findings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138751
constructed and its evolution over time is shown. This indicator aids the estimation of the risks of this sector going forward and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003755238
The detection of business-cycle turning points is usually performed with non-linear discrete-regime models such as binary dependent variable (e.g., probit or logit) or Markov-switching methods. The probit model has the drawback that the continuous underlying target variable is discretized, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344635