The outcomes of many activities depend upon both skill and luck. We analyze stock analysts' forecasts of companies' earnings per share under market conditions that vary in volatility and thus imply different levels of luck in outcomes. Noting that making forecasts that deviate widely from the...

We use a Colombian TV game show to test gender differences in competitive behavior where there is no opportunity for discrimination and females face no gender-specific external constraints. Each game started with six contestants who had to answer general knowledge questions in private. There...

In most naturally occurring situations, success depends on both skill and chance. We compare experimental market entry decisions where payoffs depend on skill alone and combinations of skill and luck. We find more risk taking with skill and luck as opposed to skill alone, particularly for males,...

Excess entry - or the high failure rate of market-entry decisions - is often attributed to overconfidence exhibited by entrepreneurs. We show analytically that whereas excess entry is an inevitable consequence of imperfect assessments of entrepreneurial skill, it does not imply overconfidence....