Wildfires, suspended soil and other particulates, and industrial emissions combine to raise the urgency of air quality as a planetary threat. This paper introduces Prometheus, a proactive decision-making framework for managing environmental and health risks associated with air pollution and...

The hidden nature of causality is a puzzling, yet critical notion for effective decision-making. Financial markets are characterized by fluctuating interdependencies which seldom give rise to emergent phenomena such as bubbles or crashes. In this paper, we propose a method based on symbolic...

Through financial network analysis we ascertain the existence of important causal behavior among certain financial assets, as inferred by eight different causality methods. Our results contradict the Efficient Market Hypothesis and open new horizons for further investigation and possible...

In view of the established presence of wide deviations of US-listed country ETFs' prices from their net asset values, we study whether feedback trading exists in this category of ETFs and whether it varies with their premiums and discounts. Using a sample of nineteen country ETFs for the...

We examine the impact of return predictability and parameter uncertainty on investors' long-term portfolio allocations in the context of disappointment aversion. We find persisting horizon effects, with stocks appearing progressively more attractive at longer horizons as opposed to shorter ones....

In this paper, we propose a network-based analytical framework that exploits cointegration and the error correction model to systematically investigate the directions and intensities in terms of the short-run disequilibrium adjustment towards long-run equilibrium affecting the international...

A system that includes a number of terrorist cells is considered. The cells can consist of one or more terrorists. The current number of terrorist cells is further denoted by N(t), where t is a current time counted from any appropriate origin. The objective is to find the evolution of the system...

A large amount of studies has attempted to trace the presence of herding during extreme periods at the cross-sectional level by associating herding with the reduction in the cross-sectional dispersion of returns around the market average. In this paper we address the issue of whether the...

Research in Finance has shown that herd behaviour is associated with nonlinear dynamics in both developed and emerging stock markets. However the latter are characterized by thin trading which has been found to amplify nonlinearities in returns by enhancing their serial dependence. If so, then...