A major puzzle in international finance is the inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of the nominal exchange rate than a naive random walk. While prior research has generally evaluated exchange rate forecasts using conventional statistical...

We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk-return profile of currency carry trade portfolios. We use a scaled stochastic discount factor instead of scaled or managed portfolio returns as in previous work. Our conditioning...

We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk-return profile of currency carry trade portfolios. We use a scaled stochastic discount factor instead of scaled or managed portfolio returns as in previous work. Our conditioning...

In this paper, we investigate the value versus growth strategies from the perspective of stochastic dominance. Using half century US data on value and growth stocks, we find strong evidence that value stocks stochastically dominate growth stocks in all three-order of stochastic dominance...

We re-visit long-run performance after IPOs using a model-free stochastic dominance approach that allows us to compare the empirical distribution of portfolio payoffs while incorporating assumptions about investors' preferences. Our main results are as follows. First, we find that investors, who...

We study, using the idea of stochastic dominance, the long-run post merger stock performance of UK acquiring firms. We compare performance by using the entire distribution of returns rather than only the mean as in traditional event studies. Our main results are as follows: First, we find that,...

In this paper we find that the decline in the momentum profitability is partly driven by option trading. Momentum profits arise from the short leg and therefore on barriers to short selling. We find strong evidence that the presence of stock options creates alternate avenues for short selling,...

We study how macroeconomic, firm-level and higher-order uncertainty affects real corporate investment in firms with different levels of active and passive block ownership. Our ownership data are extracted from statutory SEC filings that block-holders are required to file indicating their active...

In this paper we investigate the empirical performance of unconditionally efficient portfolios strategies for a number of commonly used predictive variables. These strategies, which optimally utilize asset return predictability in portfolio formation were studied by Hansen and Richard (1987) and...

In this paper we propose a new Sharpe ratio based test of asset return predictability. Intuitively, a variable that predicts returns is of value to an investor if it allows the construction of 'managed' portfolios that expand the unconditional mean-variance efficient frontier, and thus the...