This paper aims to create a composite national oil sentiment index and examine the sentiment effects on oil futures. The intent is to extrapolate this index for the US market and assess its viability and applicability to other countries in future research. Oil sentiment is measured through...

We find excess buying just below round numbers ($X.99) and excess selling just above round numbers ($X.01) using tick data of 152 million West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures transactions from January 1996 to October 2015. The round number effects were stronger in a regime of open outcry...

This study is the first to examine China’s crude oil options market. Using high-frequency data and three different price discovery measures, we conduct a rigorous analysis and find that after its first 8 months of operation, China’s crude oil options market has already played an important...

The paper examines the impact of Russia-Ukraine war news on Indian crude oil spot and futures markets. The event study Methodology is employed to examine the abnormal returns in crude oil spot and futures markets on the Russia-Ukraine War announcement date. For robustness of results, traditional...

This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...

This paper develops an empirical cost of carry model with endogenously conditioned convenience yield. The approach is implemented using monthly prices of all futures contracts traded at the New York Mercantile Exchange between 1985 and 2006. Tests indicate that the model fits the data extremely...