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This study identifies bold target forecasts as those far deviate from the consensus target and the actual stock price. Analysts’ bold forecasts exert substantial price drifts larger than the impacts caused by non-bold forecasts. The abnormal returns caused by bold pessimistic forecasts are...
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earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
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predict that this reluctance allows each firm's conservative forecast to be heavily influenced by the firm's past performance …
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error, while small unpredictable components can lead to gains in forecast accuracy. Based on our results, we formulate the … available forecast for each forecaster and the difference between the average and the forecast that this forecaster previously … made. We extended the knowledge base by analyzing the unpredictable component of the earnings forecast. We found that for …
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-the dividend and earnings yields-on the South African market, at both aggregated and sectoral level. Unlike most studies in South …
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. We also find that analyst biases do not have an impact on forecast dispersion …
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