This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European new Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of "emerging...

This paper examines the capital flow experience of transition economies which are also prospective EU members with a view to shedding light on the likely problems they might encounter with exchange rate policy in the run up to euro area membership. We show that they have been experiencing fairly...

This paper discusses the experience of the EU`s eight new member countries (EU8) between 1995 and 2003 when the bulk of capital account liberalization took place, focusing on interest-rate-sensitive portfolio flows and financial flows. It takes stock of the lessons from capital flow patterns to...

This paper examines the movements of exchange rates and capital inflows in an environment where an optimizing central bank pursuing the joint goals of inflation and output targeting engages in costly sterilization activities. Our results predict that when faced with increased sterilization...

Interest rate differentials between China and the rest of the world provide an attractive target for currency carry trade strategies, but remains problematic due to existing capital controls. We focus on copper holdings as an asset used to facilitate the carry trade. Using a unique dataset of...

This article examines speculative attacks against the Greek drachma from 1960 until the adoption of the euro in 2001. The analysis is preceded by a historical review. Subsequently, using monthly data on a plethora of economic, financial and political variables, a range of Limited Dependent...