Using a standard framework from Keynesian economics, we provide novel insights on the dynamic nature of the aggregate earnings-return relation. Aggregate earnings are a measure of aggregate output, and as such, they capture demand and supply shocks. Demand shocks could have positive or negative...

Aggregate investment and consumption have heterogeneous cyclical implications on firm-level earnings and the cyclical earnings patterns are associated with future abnormal returns. Earnings cyclicalities give rise to an information channel through which anticipated changes in investment and...

Ball, Kothari, and Nikolaev (2011) make two major claims in their recent working paper titled “On estimating conditional conservatism.” While they agree that the effect documented in Patatoukas and Thomas (2011) biases the conditional conservatism estimate proposed in Basu (1997), they claim...

How much news is there in aggregate accounting earnings? I provide evidence that earnings changes at the stock market level are correlated with new information about not only expected future cash flows but also discount rates. A comprehensive investigation of the link to discount rates reveals...

This study investigates whether and how customer-base concentration affects supplier firm fundamentals and stock market valuation. I compile a comprehensive sample of supply chain relationships and develop a measure (CC) to capture the extent to which a supplier's customer base is concentrated....

Despite the conceptual appeal and popularity of the differential timeliness (DT) measure of conditional conservatism proposed in Basu (1997), Dietrich et al. (2007) and Givoly et al. (2007) have identified considerable biases associated with that measure. We renew their call to avoid using the...

What is the link between stock returns and news about economic growth? Using consensus forecasts from the Philadelphia Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters, I find that the univariate association between stock returns and GDP growth forecast surprises is indistinguishable from zero. While...

What are the implications of major customer dependency, i.e., the degree of a supplier firm's dependency on its major customers, for external auditors? While the conventional view emphasizes the negatives of major customer dependency for client business risk, we find that suppliers with more...

Blockchain, the technology behind digital currency, is a decentralized, distributed ledger that records transactions in digital assets. By authenticating and recording immutable transactions, decentralized blockchains perform the same function as many intermediaries in our society that establish...

Using a financial reporting and valuation model, we investigate the construct validity of Basu's (1997) asymmetric timeliness (AT) regression coefficient as a measure of conditional conservatism in corporate financial reporting. We predict that the AT coefficient will be positive even in the...