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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285969
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528313
This paper examines the advantages and drawbacks of alternative methods of estimating oil supply and oil demand elasticities and of incorporating this information into structural VAR models. I not only summarize the state of the literature, but also draw attention to a number of econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822493
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To find out if gold remains to be unlinked with the crude oil market after the 2008 financial crisis, we investigated how long-run price linkages and price causalities among crude oil and gold markets changed before and after the crisis. To have a good reference, we also tested the same issue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179529
After opening up of the Interconnector, the liberalized UK natural gas market and the regulated Continental gas markets became physically integrated. The oil-linked Continental gas price became dominant, due to both the large volume of the Continental market and to the fact that the significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318728
We study the jump behaviour in the sovereign risks of major oil-exporting countries and examine whether it is affected by jumps in the price and volatility of crude oil. Data used are daily from 14 February 2011, to 31 July 2019. We detect the presence of jumps in many oil exporters and find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127756
In this work, we propose an analysis of the global market for crude oil based on a revised version of the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model introduced by Kilian and Murphy (2014). On this respect, we replace the global proxy for above-ground crude oil inventories with the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794647
World Trade Center, said in a 1998 interview that he believed that Oil Prices, then trading at around $11 a barrel should … ideally trade at around $144 a barrel. Oil touched around $144 a barrel in June 2008. At this price, the world would be paying … formation of Organisation of Petroleum Importing Countries (OPIC) in 2002. This idea becomes much more imminent in these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215039