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Transparent disclosures of public information might be one natural policy to reduce information inequality among individuals. We conduct a welfare analysis of such policy by introducing ex-ante heterogeneity in individuals' private information in a class of economies with dispersed information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838071
Although much is known about labor market dynamics under technology shocks in advanced economies, this is not true for developing economies. This study bridges this gap in the literature by establishing new stylized facts in labor market dynamics. First, the response of hours worked (and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896950
Countercyclical dispersion of firm outcomes (micro dispersion) is commonly used as a proxy for micro uncertainty. In this paper, we characterize conditions under which micro dispersion and micro uncertainty co-move positively in the context of a large Cournot economy with dispersed information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898574
While the negative effect of uncertainty shocks on economic activity is well documented in manyempirical studies, little is known about the extent to which the effect differs across various kinds ofuncertainty, especially in the emerging market economy context. Using the newly available economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935309
Financial analysts may have strategic incentives to herd or to anti-herd when issuing forecasts of firms' earnings. This paper develops and implements a new test to examine whether such incentives exist and to identify the form of strategic behavior. We use the equilibrium property of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872262
We study forecast dispersion in a finite-player forecasting game modeled as an aggregate game with payoff externalities and dispersed information. In the game, each agent cares about being accurate as well as about the distance of his forecast from the average forecast; and with a finite number...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972639