Showing 1 - 10 of 182,169
We suggest a test for discovering whether a potential expert is informed of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, the expert is asked to make a prediction which is tested against a single realization of the stochastic process. It is shown that by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778858
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002469205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002098736
An agent searches sequentially for advice from multiple experts concerning the payoff of taking an operation. After … infinitely many experts, each has access to an identically and conditionally independent signal structure about the payoff, and … each makes a recommendation after observing the signal realization. We find that the experts face a loser's curse, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104605
An entrepreneur contracts with a consultant, who is protected by limited liability, to supply information about the state of a project prior to investing in it. For a given level of investment, a good project succeeds with higher probability than a bad one. The entrepreneur makes an upfront...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117630
We propose a method to test a prediction of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, a predicted distribution is tested using a realization of the stochastic process. A test associates a set of realizations for each predicted distribution, on which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003780879
We propose a method to test a prediction of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, a predicted distribution is tested using a realization of the stochastic process. A test associates a set of realizations for each predicted distribution, on which the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272320
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583934
We examine misconduct in credence good markets with price taking experts. We propose a market-level model in which … price-taking experts extract surplus based on the value of their firm's brand and their own skill. We test the predictions … independent experts, despite doing substantially less business. In addition, more experienced experts attract more complaints per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096847
We study the design of contracts that incentivize experts to collect information and truthfully report it to a decision … on the ex post payoff of the decision maker. The contract thus has to induce the experts to "monitor each other" by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806483