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An agent searches sequentially for advice from multiple experts concerning the payoff of taking an operation. After … infinitely many experts, each has access to an identically and conditionally independent signal structure about the payoff, and … each makes a recommendation after observing the signal realization. We find that the experts face a loser's curse, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104605
An entrepreneur contracts with a consultant, who is protected by limited liability, to supply information about the state of a project prior to investing in it. For a given level of investment, a good project succeeds with higher probability than a bad one. The entrepreneur makes an upfront...
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We suggest a test for discovering whether a potential expert is informed of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, the expert is asked to make a prediction which is tested against a single realization of the stochastic process. It is shown that by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778858
In this paper, we consider a committee of experts that decides whether to approve or reject a proposed innovation on …
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We provide an explanation for why committees may behave over-cautiously. A committee of experts makes a decision on a … evidence and the best practices of the experts' common discipline, which is only indirectly related to the true state of the … dieser Innovation durch jeden Experten erfolgt auf der Grundlage dessen, was in der gemeinsamen Disziplin als allgemein …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195361
In 2007 Consumer Reports released, and two weeks later retracted, a flawed report on the safety of infant carseats. Analyzing data from 5,471 online auctions for carseats ending before, during and after the information was considered valid I find that (1) consumers responded to the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047020
loss are random and correlated, and when there are multiple experts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263276