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Since the onset of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, credit risk spreads in Europe have diverged. Despite this divergence, credit risk comoves strongly within certain country groups such as the eurozone periphery. We seek to answer what the determinants of the observed pattern of credit risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486057
We analyze the channels for the cross-border propagation of sovereign credit risk in the international sovereign debt market. We study sovereign credit contagion through the immediate effects of credit events as defined by CDS spread jumps on the credit spreads of other regional sovereigns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019398
This study establishes time-frequency networks of sovereign and bank contagion in the eurozone over the period 2009-2021. By applying discrete wavelet transformation, daily CDS premia of sovereigns and banks are decomposed into multi-horizon components to specify directed and dependence-weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292566
Credit rating changes for long-term foreign currency debt may act as a wake-up call with up-grades and downgrades in one country affecting other financial markets within and across national borders. Such a potential (contagious) rating effect is likely to be stronger in emerg-ing market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765359
The theoretical literature remains inconclusive on whether changes in bank exposure towards the domestic sovereign have an adverse effect on the sovereign risk position via a diabolic loop in the sovereign-bank nexus or reduce perceived default risk by acting as a disciplinary device for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436025
We examine the role of the CDS and bond markets during and before the recent euro area sovereign debt crisis as transmission channels for credit risk contagion between sovereign entities. We analyse an intraday dataset for GIIPS countries as well as for France and Germany. Our findings suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979715
This paper develops a quantitative general equilibrium model of sovereign default with heterogeneous agents to account for spillover of default risk across countries. Borrowers (sovereign governments) and foreign lenders (investors) in the model face financial frictions, which endogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043457
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at the empirical evidence on European sovereigns CDS spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
This paper analyses the dynamics of the credit default swap (CDS) market of PIIGS, France, Germany and the UK for the period of 2005–2010. The study is performed on the basis of the Datastream and DTCC data on CDS spreads and the BIS data on cross-border exposures.The analysis of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965163
Credit rating changes for long-term foreign currency debt may act as a wake-up call with up-grades and downgrades in one country affecting other financial markets within and across national borders. Such a potential (contagious) rating effect is likely to be stronger in emerging market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256802