We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...

We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...

We study risk-return relationship in twenty Frontier country stock markets by setting up an international version of the intertemporal capital asset pricing model (International ICAPM). The systematic risk in this model comes from covariance of Frontier market stock index returns with world...

We search for time-varying predictable components in monthly excess stock index returns over the risk free rates in the G7 countries. The predictable components provide an estimate of the expected excess returns. Our unobserved components model improves on Conrad and Kaul (1988) by taking into...

We study the consumption based asset pricing model in a discrete time pure exchange setting with incomplete information. Incomplete information leads to a filtering problem which agents solve using the Kalman filter. We characterize the solution to the asset pricing problem in such a setting....

We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...

This paper uses an artificial neural network (ANN) model to forecast broad dividends, and computes fundamental stock prices with a stochastic discount factor. Broad dividends are used because they measure payouts to shareholders more accurately. Since nonlinearity is found in broad dividends, an...

We examine US stock index return and volatility spillovers on the mean and volatility of stock index returns of 21 Frontier markets. We entertain potential time-variation in spillovers in mean returns by considering a time-varying parameter (TVP) model. Spillovers in volatility are modeled by...