The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information … available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and … extreme value distribution of risk. We use a rich data set from the US equity market to explore when this additional …

This paper employs weighted least squares to examine the risk-return relation by applying high-frequency data from four … returns and expected risk. However, by using quantile regressions, we find that the risk-return relation moves from negative … to positive as the returns’ quantile increases. A positive risk-return relation is valid only in the upper quantiles. The …