We propose a dynamic measure of stock market sentiment, extending heavily the widely adopted Baker and Wurgler (2006) market sentiment index construct on the novel basis that (1) the aggregate market sentiment must cover as many views from different investors or investment activities as possible;...

We investigate investor's correlated attention as a determinant of excess stock market comovement. We propose a novel proxy, "co-attention", that measures the correlation in demand for market-wide information across stock markets approximated by the Google Search Volume Index (SVI). Our results...

Using the "Dragon and Tiger" list, we construct a clean indicator that directly measures investor attention, empirically test the effect of investor attention on stock return under negative shocks and whether the effect is affected by the bull or bear market, the industry, firm size, age and...

This paper examines the effects of superstitious psychology on investors’ decision making in the context of Mercury retrograde, a special astronomical phenomenon meaning “everything going wrong.” Using natural experiments in the Chinese stock market, we find that stock prices fall...

Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...

Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...

We analyze the effects of retail investor sentiment on the German stock market by introducing four distinct investor pessimism indices (IPIs) based on selected aggregate Google search queries of households. We assess the impact of weekly changes in sentiment captured by the IPIs on both...

Within a financial market where a risk-free bond and a long-lived risky asset are exchanged by investors with heterogeneous trading rules, we assume that the investors most exposed to the risky asset are subject to joint liquidation needs. The latter encompass a risk whenever the market impact...

Concentrating on speculative flow rather than stock demand, the paper puts forward a deterministic continuous-time model of the equity market that is compatible with a growing and inflationary economy. Instead of the systematically rising equity price, the central state variable in now Tobin's...

The half-life is used to estimate the adjustment speed of a variable to a new equilibrium point after being affected by the impulse response of a unit of shocks. The paper examines the adjustment speed of COVID19, investor sentiment, and the stock market through half-life estimates over the...