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' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
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better understand how financial analysts forecast earnings. We focus on forecasts for Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs … regression analysis finds that the severity of the pandemic increases analysts' forecast error and dispersion. Government … forecast error rises by more, for REITs, when focusing on Hospitality and Industrial properties, and dispersion rises by more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628786
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forecasts. Yet bias does not necessarily invalidate a forecast, nor does it impinge on its relative quality. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967143
While a large literature has examined analysts’ earnings forecasts or stock recommendations in isolation, there is little research on the effectiveness with which analysts translate their earnings forecasts into recommendations (referred to as translational effectiveness). This study provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224426
We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i ….e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price … revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast revisions, the sign of which is the sign of earnings forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359306
controlling shareholders impairs analyst forecast quality. We sample Chinese A-share firms and find that the proportion of shares … associated with analysts’ earnings forecast error and dispersion. Analysts’ incentives moderate the association between pledge … ratios and forecast predictions. High performing analysts most sensitive to reputational concerns continue to report …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257685
This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502444
We investigate whether investors are misled by firms that exclude particular expenses in calculating non-GAAP earnings in order to beat analysts' earnings forecasts. Our empirical analyses suggest that firms that pursue a strategy of non-GAAP reporting to beat analysts' earnings forecasts not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864015