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We propose a new measure of the expected variance risk premium that is based on a forecast of the conditional variance from a GARCH-MIDAS model. We find that the new measure has strong predictive ability for future U.S. aggregate stock market returns and rationalize this result by showing that...
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market index price, and the US oil and gas sub-sector indices. We also explore the out-of-sample hedging performance of a … hedging strategy by minimizing the conditional Value-at-Risk of the hedged portfolios composed with sub-sector index and … futures contract after estimating the time-varying parameters of copulas. We compare the hedging effectiveness of this …
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. For the USA, daily spot and futures prices are available for crude oil and coal, but there are no daily spot or futures … properties under the null hypothesis of zero off-diagonal elements. Dynamic hedging strategies using optimal hedge ratios will be …
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