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The primary objective of this paper is to use the Markov regime-switching modeling framework to study the credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014092342
This paper presents evidence that Ireland`s disinflation policy has derived credibility from its participation in the … beginning of the disinflation seems to have been instrumental in establishing its credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781314
countries. Based on an assessment of credibility of the EMS before and during the crisis, the paper discusses distinct features … that add to the credibility of regional exchange rate systems. It reasons that a system that is built around well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063838
the EMS is the only appealing policy, as all interventions at the borders of an official zone signal non-credibility to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074778
This paper studies the political economy of realignments to fixed exchange rates and suggests that the use of realignments is less likely when there are political benefits from stable exchange rates and when linkages across other issue areas increase the costs of realignment. More specifically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958734
A simple two-country stochastic model is used to analyze monetary policy interaction in a system of exchange rate bands such as the EMS, in the context of internationally-integrated financial markets. We consider the widely-acknowledged asymmetry of the system, as it pertains to member...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396204
In exchange rate target zone models the commitment of policymakers to intervene at the boundaries of the band gives rise to speculation which stabilizes exchange rates within the band. The empirical implications of such stochastic process switching are discussed and their relevance for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011613863
credibility prior to inflation convergence, the sign of the real interest rate differential may be reversed. Developments in … significantly more credible in 1989-90. As improved credibility further limits their monetary autonomy, the Italian authorities will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781407
Standard models of policy credibility, defined as the expectation that an announced policy will be carried out …, emphasize the preferences of the policymaker, and the role of tough policies in signalling toughness and raising credibility … credibility of a no-devaluation pledge in subsequent periods. We test this implication on data for the interest rate differential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781712
Standard models of policy credibility. defined as the expectation that an announced policy will be carried out … announced policy in adverse circumstances. We investigate this alternative notion of credibility, using an "escape clause" model … policy in a given period may lower rather than raise the credibility of a no-devaluation pledge in subsequent periods. in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245109