This article develops a statistical model to explain sources of distress in local government. Whereas 'financial distress' in the private sector has been equated with a failure to meet financial commitments, here 'distress' is interpreted as an inability to maintain pre-existing levels of...

Whilst there is increasing research attention on predicting financial distress, the existing literature is subject to two specific limitations. The first is that a firm can experience a financial distress event (e.g., loan default, bankruptcy) more than once, yet most studies that model...