Showing 1 - 10 of 255
rare. Our methodology avoids look-ahead bias and addresses semantic shifts. War discourse positively predicts market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
additional tests, some of which utilize data on adverse health events, suggests that the forecast biases are at least partly due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635627
Portfolio optimization focuses on risk and return prediction, yet implementation costs critically matter. Predicting trading costs is challenging because costs depend on trade size and trader identity, thus impeding a generic solution. We focus on a component of trading costs that applies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094879
aligns with extant measures of disagreement (e.g., analyst forecast dispersion), but is a significantly stronger predictor of … disagreement and future returns. A decile spread portfolio that is short stocks with high forecast disagreement and long stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337816
Stock markets play a dual role: help allocate capital by conveying information about firms' fundamentals and provide liquidity by quickly turning stocks into cash. We propose a trading model in which these two roles are endogenously related: more intensive use of stocks for liquidity affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544779
We study how the social transmission of public news influences investors' beliefs and securities markets. Using an extensive dataset to measure investor social networks, we find that earnings announcements from firms in higher-centrality locations generate stronger immediate price and trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537754
Despite the dominance of retail investors in the Chinese stock market, there's a conspicuous absence of price momentum in weekly and monthly returns. This study uncovers the presence of price momentum in daily returns and, through a systematic analysis of trading heterogeneity among investors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436970
We study how negative sentiment around an industry impacts beliefs and behaviors, focusing on demands for racial justice after the murder of George Floyd and the salience of the "defund the police" movement. We assess stakeholder beliefs on the impact of protests on the stock prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635693
The abnormal return associated with a stock being added to the S&P 500 has fallen from an average of 3.4% in the 1980s and 7.6% in the 1990s to 0.8% over the past decade. This has occurred despite a significant increase in the percentage of stock market assets linked to the index. A similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477240
Despite positive and significant earnings announcement premia, we find that institutional investors reduce their exposure to stocks before earnings announcements. A novel result on the sensitivity of flows to individual stock returns provides a potential explanation. We show that extreme...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322748