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inflation strongly and persistently, (ii) lead to statistically weak negative effects on activity, (iii) contributed to … having a stronger effect on inflation expectations. Quantitatively, increasing political pressure by half as much as Nixon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544739
fluctuations associated with these events are also discussed, as is their role in the recent surge of inflation, with a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322883
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809
Fiscal support measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic varied in their targeted beneficiaries. Relying on variability across 10 large economies, we study differences in the inflationary effects of fiscal support measures targeting consumers or businesses. Because conventional measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537798
short-run and long-run inflation expectations. The estimated model allows us to analyze the direct and indirect effects of … product-market and labor-market shocks on prices and nominal wages and to quantify the sources of U.S. pandemic-era inflation … and wage growth. We find that, contrary to early concerns that inflation would be spurred by overheated labor markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322804
A central question in applied research is to estimate the effect of an exogenous intervention or shock on an outcome. The intervention can affect the outcome and controls on impact and over time. Moreover, there can be subsequent feedback between outcomes, controls and the intervention. Many of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056147
public finances. We show that when the ECB misses its inflation target this has large heterogeneous fiscal consequences for … missing their inflation targets. They are also sizeable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537713
the quantity of imports. We investigate the impact of an import constraint on inflation, following an increase in domestic … demand. Whether the binding import constraint raises inflation depends on how it affects trade intermediation costs. If the … binding constraint raises trade costs, then import price inflation also increases. In this case, however, foreign producer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468272
What is the impact and value of hurricane forecasts? We study this question using newly-collected forecast data for major US hurricanes since 2005. We find higher wind speed forecasts increase pre-landfall protective spending, but erroneous under-forecasts increase post-landfall damage and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576576
industries. Meanwhile governments responded with unprecedented stimulus packages, and inflation increased to its highest values … in 40 years. In this paper I investigate the contribution of aggregate monetary and fiscal policies to inflation … heterogeneous supply curves, industry-specific shocks to inelastically supplied goods increase aggregate inflation through a cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512048