Similar Search Results

Production, Trade, and Cross-Border Data Flows

Chang, Qing; Cong, Lin William; Liyong, Wang; Zhang, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

-existing development gaps in data economies on each country's production and international trade. Raw data as byproducts of consumption can …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322803

Life-cycle Forces make Monetary Policy Transmission Wealth-centric

Beaudry, Paul; Cavallino, Paolo; Willems, Tim - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

of consumption/saving decisions, thereby enriching the determinants of aggregate demand and affecting the transmission of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544789

China's Macroeconomic Development : The Role of Gradualist Reforms

Chen, Kaiji; Zha, Tao - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper reviews recent literature on China's macroeconomic development, emphasizing the critical role of the gradualist approach over the past four decades. Beyond China's structural transformation, we explore various aspects such as high saving rates, the housing boom, an expanding current...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322782

Sentiment, Productivity, and Economic Growth

Kōnstantinidēs, Giōrgos; Montone, Maurizio; Potì, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Previous research finds correlation between sentiment and future economic growth, but disagrees on the channel that explains this result. In this paper, we shed new light on this issue by exploiting cross-country variation in sentiment and market efficiency. We find that sentiment shocks in G7...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247952

Subjective Income Expectations and Household Debt Cycles

D'Acunto, Francesco - 2024

lower-than-expected incomes are realized. We assess the aggregate implications by estimating a consumption model with …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635678

Population and Welfare : The Greatest Good for the Greatest Number

Adhami, Mohamad; Bils, Mark; Jones, Charles I.; Klenow, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

people as well as their standard of living. We decompose social welfare growth -- measured in consumption-equivalent (CE …) units -- into contributions from rising population and rising per capita consumption. Because of diminishing marginal … utility from consumption, population growth is scaled up by a value-of-life factor that exceeds one and empirically averages …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447320

Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector : big hindrance, little help

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

"We examine how financial expansion and contraction cycles affect the broader economy through their impact on 8 real economic sectors in a panel of 28 countries over 1960-2005, paying particular attention to large, or sharp, contractions and magnifying and mitigating factors. Overall, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011395532

A Theory of Fiscal Responsibility and Irresponsibility

Halac, Marina; Yared, Pierre - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We propose a political economy mechanism that explains the presence of fiscal regimes punctuated by crisis periods. Our model focuses on the interaction between successive deficit-biased governments subject to i.i.d. fiscal shocks. We show that the economy transitions between a fiscally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435163

State-Dependent Local Projections : Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity

Cloyne, James; Jordà, Òscar; Taylor, Alan M. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

An impulse response is the dynamic average effect of an intervention across horizons. We use the well-known Kitagawa-Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition to explore a response's heterogeneity over time and over states of the economy. This can be implemented with a simple extension to the usual local...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226168

Debt and Deficits : Fiscal Analysis with Stationary Ratios

Campbell, John Y.; Gao, Can; Martin, Ian - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We study cointegrating relationships among fiscal variables and output and use them to introduce a new measure of the government's fiscal position. In the US since World War II, we find that the primary surplus-GDP ratio and the government debt-GDP ratio are nonstationary, which invalidates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287325