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Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each … internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far … this bifurcation would need to go to pose a threat to the special role of the dollar in international exchange. The theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792
Current policies directed at mitigating global warming appear unlikely to prevent temperatures from rising to levels that would trigger a precipitous increase in the costs of climate change. Various attempts at international cooperation to avoid this outcome have failed. Why is this problem so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462728
The Green Paradox posits that fossil fuel markets respond to changing expectations about climate legislation, which limits future consumption, by shifting consumption to the present through lower present-day prices. We demonstrate that oil futures responded negatively to daily changes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544684
This paper examines the role of foreign exchange (FX) reserves and other fundamental factors in explaining cross-country differences in foreign currency depreciation observed over the 2021-22 Federal Reserve monetary policy tightening cycle that led to a sharp appreciation of the US dollar....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226132
We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914
. Participation of emerging economies in world trade and longer-distance trade between countries contribute to this usage increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250184
We study how the implementation of emissions trading systems (ETS) impacts emissions reductions and the usage of renewable energy using a panel sample of the largest 100 countries worldwide. Exploiting the cross-country variations in ETS implementations, we show that ETS adoption materially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435149
Multinational firms (MNEs) accounted for 42 percent of US manufacturing employment, 87 percent of US imports, and 84 of US exports in 2007. Despite their disproportionate share of global trade, MNEs' input sourcing and final-good production decisions are often studied separately. Using newly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388806
The Global Repository of Income Dynamics (GRID) is a new open-access, cross- country database that contains a wide range of micro statistics on income inequality, dynamics, and mobility. It has four key characteristics: it is built on micro panel data drawn from administrative records; it fully...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388880
We study the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on Euro Area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other countries, such as the United States, over the two-year period 2020-21. Our model-based calibration exercises deliver four key results: 1) Compositional effects - the switch from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334457