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The Dollar in an Era of International Retrenchment

Chahrour, Ryan; Valchev, Rosen - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each … internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far … this bifurcation would need to go to pose a threat to the special role of the dollar in international exchange. The theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792

Central Banks as Dollar Lenders of Last Resort : Implications for Regulation and Reserve Holdings

Das, Mitali; Gopinath, Gita; Kim, Taehoon; Stein, Jeremy C. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

This paper explores how non-U.S. central banks behave when firms in their economies engage in currency mismatch, borrowing more heavily in dollars than justified by their operating exposures. We begin by documenting that, in a panel of 53 countries, central bank holdings of dollar reserves are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477280

Corporate Debt Structure with Home and International Currency Bias

Maggiori, Matteo; Neiman, Brent; Schreger, Jesse - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We explore the consequences of global capital market segmentation by currency for the optimal currency composition of borrowing by firms. Global bond portfolios are driven by the currency of denomination of assets as investors prefer to lend in their home currency or the international currency,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437022

Global Supply Chains : The Looming "Great Reallocation"

Alfaro, Laura; Chor, Davin - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Global supply chains have come under unprecedented stress as a result of US-China trade tensions, the Covid-19 pandemic, and geopolitical shocks. We document shifts in the pattern of US participation in global value chains over the last four decades, in terms of partner countries, products, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372418

The International Monetary System and International Financial System as an Analogy to the Copernican Heliocentric system : A simple multi-layers network model with simultaneous reg...

Bordo, Michael D.; Bastidon, Cécile - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

is based on economic history, theory and some resonant concepts from astrophysics …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372472

Global Liquidity : Drivers, Volatility and Toolkits

Goldberg, Linda S. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

Global liquidity refers to the volumes of financial flows - largely intermediated through global banks and non-bank financial institutions - that can move at relatively high frequencies across borders. The amplitude of responses to global conditions like risk sentiment, discussed in the context...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322743

How Far Goods Travel : Global Transport and Supply Chains from 1965-2020

Ganapati, Sharat; Wong, Woan Foong - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

. Participation of emerging economies in world trade and longer-distance trade between countries contribute to this usage increase …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250184

The US, Economic News, and the Global Financial Cycle

Boehm, Christoph E.; Kroner, T. Niklas - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using intraday data, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity prices all...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247914

The Global Dollar Cycle

Obstfeld, Maurice; Zhou, Haonan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924

Cross-border Spillovers : How US Financial Conditions affect M&As Around the World

Bergant, Katharina; Mishra, Prachi; Rajan, Raghuram Govind - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We find that financial conditions in the core have significant spillover effects on cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As). On average, a 1 percentage point easing of the IMF US Financial Conditions Index is associated with approximately a 10% higher volume of cross-border M&As. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287336