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Systemic bias of IMF reserve and debt forecasts for program countries

Eicher, Theo S.; Kawai, Reina - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 3, pp. 985-1001

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547232

Understanding bank and nonbank credit cycles : a structural exploration

Durdu, Ceyhun Bora; Zhong, Molin - 2019

We explore the structural drivers of bank and nonbank credit cycles using an estimated medium-scale macro model that allows for bank and nonbank financial intermediation. We posit economy-wide aggregate and sectoral disturbances to potentially drive bank and nonbank credit growth. We find that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181042

Balance sheets of financial intermediaries : do they forecast economic activity?

Sekkel, Rodrigo - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 263-275

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474047

Macroeconomic information, structural change, and the prediction of fiscal aggregates

Carriero, Andrea; Mumtaz, Haroon; Theophilopoulou, Angeliki - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 325-348

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474102

Using financial indicators to predict turning points in the business cycle : the case of the leading economic index for the United States

Levanon, Gad; Manini, Jean-Claude; Ozyildirim, Ataman; … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 399-425

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474152

Pretesting for multi-step-ahead exchange rate forecasts with STAR models

Enders, Walter; Pascalau, Razvan - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 473-487

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474176

Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models

Foroni, Claudia; Guérin, Pierre; Marcellino, Massimiliano - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 692-711

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474529

Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs

Carriero, Andrea; Clements, Michael P.; Galvão, Ana … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 757-768

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474551

Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions

Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho; Hecq, Alain W. J.; … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 862-875

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474611

Real-time forecasting of the US federal government budget : a simple mixed frequency data regression approach

Ghysels, Eric; Ozkan, Nazire - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 4, pp. 1009-1020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474768

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