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The estimation of the inverse covariance matrix plays a crucial role in optimal portfolio choice. We propose a new estimation framework that focuses on enhancing portfolio performance. The framework applies the statistical methodology of shrinkage directly to the inverse covariance matrix using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599648
The paper proposes a framework for large-scale portfolio optimization which accounts for all the major stylized facts of multivariate financial returns, including volatility clustering, dynamics in the dependency structure, asymmetry, heavy tails, and nonellipticity. It introduces a so-called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410659
A new multivariate time series model with various attractive properties is motivated and studied. By extending the CCC model in several ways, it allows for all the primary stylized facts of financial asset returns, including volatility clustering, non-normality (excess kurtosis and asymmetry),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256409
A fast method is developed for value at risk and expected shortfall prediction for univariate asset return time series exhibiting leptokurtosis, asymmetry, and conditional heteroskedasticity. It is based on a GARCH-type process driven by noncentral t innovations. While the method involves use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412665
We use S&P 500 index return data for the time period 1985–2013 to evaluate the performance of portfolio insurance strategies. We shed light on the question if the performance of a constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) strategy can be improved by means of a time-varying multiplier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010777132
This paper studies the empirical quantification of basis risk in the context of index-linked hedging strategies. Basis risk refers to the risk of non-payment of the index-linked instrument, given that the hedger’s loss exceeds some critical level. The quantification of such risk measures from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703258
When correlations between assets turn positive, multi-asset portfolios can become riskier than single assets. This article presents the estimation of tail risk at very high quantiles using a semiparametric estimator which is particularly suitable for portfolios with a large number of assets. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011118106
It is well-known that cross-sectional tests of the CAPM are problematic. The market indexes used in empirical tests are likely to be inefficient ex ante, which could lead to spurious results even in the absence of sampling errors. This problem has led many to express serious doubt on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907096
This paper proposes the use of a portfolio optimization methodology which combines features of equilibrium models and investor’s views as in Black and Litterman (1992), and also deals with estimation risk as in Michaud (1998). In this way, our combined methodology is able to meet the needs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065644
This paper explores the implications of a novel class of preferences for the behavior of asset prices. Following a suggestion by Marshall (1920), we entertain the possibility that people derive utility not only from consumption, but also from the very act of saving. These “saving-based”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065662