Showing 1 - 10 of 106
Purpose – Aims to investigate the accuracy of parametric, nonparametric, and semiparametric methods in predicting the one-day-ahead value-at-risk (VaR) measure in three types of markets (stock exchanges, commodities, and exchange rates), both for long and short trading positions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002434
management industry, such as averaging and smoothing techniques, as well as those favored in academic circles, such as the GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966330
volatility. Design/methodology/approach – The paper proposes volatility forecasts based on a combination of the GARCH(1,1)-model … past volatility shocks. As the square-root-of-time rule is known to be mis-specified, the GARCH setting of Drost and Nijman … forecasting. The approach considers long memory in volatility and has two main advantages: it yields a consistent set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732415
Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to propose a feasible model for the daily average temperatures of Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, in order to price temperature-based weather derivatives; also to derive analytical approximation formulas for the sensitivities of these contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009415548
Purpose – A reliable forecast of hurricane activity in the Atlantic Basin has the potential to help mitigate the economic losses caused by hurricanes. One of the difficult problems is to make reasonable annual forecast of catastrophe losses based on the short record of historical observations....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610653
In this work, a novel approach using an artificial neural network was used to develop a model for analyzing the relationship between the Global Radiation (GR) and climatological variables, and to predict GR for locations not covered by the model's training data. The predicted global radiation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010805752
Before new technologies enter the market, their environmental superiority over competing options must be asserted based on a life cycle approach. However, when applying the prevailing status-quo Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) approach to future renewable energy systems, one does not distinguish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010806319
This paper presents a novel method for the forecasting of mean hourly wind speed data using time series analysis. The … initial point for this approach is mainly the fact that none of the forecasting approaches for hourly data, that can be found … finally proposed methodology is based on the multi-step forecasting of 10 minutes averaged data and the subsequent averaging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010806846
An important issue in various domains of renewable energy is the use of technological improvement trends to project future capabilities of energy technologies. This paper analyzes two pairs of renewable energy technologies and finds that the annual improvement rate of cost/investment is quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010806916
/cooling degree days (HDD/CDD) futures for New York, Atlanta, and Chicago. Design/methodology/approach – To verify the forecasting … Benth forecast the futures prices more accurately. The difference in the forecasting performance of models between “in … meteorological forecasts to assess the forecasting power of the new hybrid model considered. Practical implications – Out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815074