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"We present a theory of choice among lotteries in which the decision maker's attention is drawn to (precisely defined …) salient payoffs. This leads the decision maker to a context-dependent representation of lotteries in which true probabilities … are replaced by decision weights distorted in favor of salient payoffs. By endogenizing decision weights as a function of …
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"We document a strong co-movement between the VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, and monetary policy. We decompose the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility ("uncertainty"), and analyze their dynamic interactions with monetary...
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"Crop production is subject to supply shocks, and both expected and realized outputs as well as output prices are unknown when inputs are chosen. The process by which producers form expectations is difficult to model, especially when working with aggregate data. We present a necessary and...
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"How does financial integration impact capital accumulation, current-account dynamics, and cross-country inequality? We investigate this question within a two-country, general-equilibrium, incomplete-markets model that focuses on the importance of idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk- a risk that...
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"We study a dynamic-contracting problem involving risk sharing between two parties - the Proposer and the Responder - who invest in a risky asset until an exogenous but random termination time. In any time period they must invest all their wealth in the risky asset, but they can share the...
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