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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Does news tone help forecast oil?
Lucey, Brian M.; Ren, Boru - In: Economic modelling 104 (2021), pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013164212
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Think national, forecast local : a case study of 71 German urban housing markets
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2015
possible to detect when using full-sample estimation information. On average, the forecast improvements attain about 20 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482020
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The macroeconomic impact of oil earnings uncertainty : new evidence from analyst forecasts
Ma, Xiaohan; Samaniego, Roberto M. - In: Energy economics 90 (2020), pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517106
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Oil price forecasts and security analysts : evidence from the oil industry
Wang, Huabing; Macy, Anne Marie - In: Applied economics letters 28 (2021) 16, pp. 1407-1412
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609691
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Forecasting the stock returns of Chinese oil companies : can investor attention help?
Zhang, Yue-jun; Li, Zhao-Chen - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 76 (2021), pp. 531-555
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176951
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Oil forecasting using artificial intelligence
Karathanasopoulos, Andreas; Zaremba, Adam; Osman, Mohammed - In: Theoretical economics letters 9 (2019) 7, pp. 2283-2290
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213641
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Long-range forecasts : linseed oil and the hemispheric movement of market and climate data, 1890-1939
MacFadyen, Joshua - In: Business history 59 (2017) 7, pp. 1010-1033
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804669
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Forecasting the sign of U.S. oil and gas industry stock index excess returns employing macroeconomic variables
Liu, Jingzhen; Kemp, Alexander G. - In: Energy economics 81 (2019), pp. 672-686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172895
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Reference class forecasting and machine learning for improved offshore oil and gas megaproject planning : methods and application
Natarajan, Ananth - In: Project management journal 53 (2022) 5, pp. 456-484
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388937