In this paper we address the issue of modeling spot electricity prices. After summarizing the stylized facts about spot electricity prices, we review a number of models proposed in the literature. Afterwards we fit a jump diffusion and a regime switching model to spot prices from the Nordic...

This paper deals with ‘investment timing’, or how to make decisions on long-term investments to mitigate catastrophic risk where the risk is driven by trends and seasonality, and interest rates vary stochastically over time. Our model combines real options theory, extreme value theory and...