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Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more …
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? -- Chapter 4: Making Trends and Breaks Work for us -- Chapter 5: Indicator Saturation Methods -- Chapter 6: Combining Theory and …
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A structural break is viewed as a permanent change in the parameter vector of a model. Using taxonomies of all sources of forecast errors for both conditional mean and conditional variance processes, we consider the impacts of breaks and their relevance in forecasting models: (a) where the...
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