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We study the pricing of political uncertainty in a general equilibrium model of government policy choice. We find that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in poorer economic conditions. Political uncertainty reduces the value of the implicit put protection...
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We analyze how changes in government policy affect stock prices. Our general equilibrium model features uncertainty about government policy and a government that has both economic and non-economic motives. The government tends to change its policy after performance downturns in the private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553062
We develop a model in which an entrepreneur learns about the average profitability of a private firm before deciding whether to take the firm public. In this decision, the entrepreneur trades off diversification benefits of going public against benefits of private control. The model predicts...
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We develop a simple approach to valuing stocks in the presence of learning about average profitability. The market … predicted to decline over a firm's lifetime due to learning, with steeper decline when the firm is young. These predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791675
We survey the recent literature on learning in financial markets. Our main theme is that many financial market … uncertain and subject to learning. We discuss phenomena related to the volatility and predictability of asset returns, stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008776994