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This paper assesses empirically whether or not current account reversals have permanent growth effects and the role of macroeconomic policies in this process. The methodology developed in de Mello, Padoan and Rousova (2010) to identify a chronology of current account reversals is applied to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009131544
The aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2007–2009 has called the export-led growth model of many Asian economies into question. This paper describes the contribution that macroeconomic policy can make to promote a rebalancing of growth away from dependence on exports to developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042794
This paper provides instrumental variables estimates of the response of aggregate private consumption to transitory … transitory shocks to aggregate output on private consumption in poor countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056357
This paper provides instrumental variables estimates of the response of aggregate private consumption to transitory … transitory shocks to aggregate output on private consumption in poor countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083244
Housing markets have played a prominent role in macroeconomic developments over recent years. For a great part of the 2000s, buoyant housing markets have contributed to sustained economic activity in most OECD countries. But many markets overheated and the collapse of the US subprime mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008480480
Financial integration generates macroeconomic spillovers that may require international monetary policy coordination. We show that individual central banks may set nominal interest rates too low or too high relative to the cooperative outcome. We identify three sufficient statistics that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447329
The ability of discretionary fiscal policy to affect economic activity following shocks depends on how private agents react. This paper re-investigates the extent of possible offsetting private saving behaviour to fiscal policy changes. The results suggest that the private saving offset is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444625
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431642
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) is a promise to obtain price level determinacy even if the nominal interest rate is constant. The idea is that a unique current price level ensures that the present value government budget constraint holds. I establish that this idea hinges on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464269
The wealthy hand-to-mouth are households who hold little or no liquid wealth (cash, checking, and savings accounts), despite owning sizable amounts of illiquid assets (assets that carry a transaction cost, such as housing or retirement accounts). We use survey data on household portfolios for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084522