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traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …
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We develop a conditional capital asset pricing model in continuous-time that allows for stochastic beta exposure. When beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return on a stock deviates from the security market line. The...
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-term decline - in the variance risk premium, and time variation in conditional skewness. We also introduce two new data series …: implied volatility from one-day options on grains for the period 1906-1936, and on cliquet options, which provide insurance …-dated options. Finally, we discuss new avenues for future research …
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Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
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highly attractive skewness-kurtosis profi le. In the presence of transactions costs that depend on an option's moneyness and … sensitivities to chosen risk factors. I test these portfolios empirically and find that options signifi cantly improve the risk …
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