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Chapter 14 Survey Expectations
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Weale, Martin - 2006
This paper focuses on survey expectations and discusses their uses for testing and modelling of expectations. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for heterogeneity of expectations is emphasized. A weak form of the rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023692
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Heterogeneity in individual expectations, sentiment, and constant-gain learning
Cole, Stephen J.; Milani, Fabio - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 188 (2021), pp. 627-650
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658763
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Perceived uncertainty shocks, excess optimism-pessimism, and learning in the business cycle
Chatterjee, Pratiti; Milani, Fabio - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 179 (2020), pp. 342-360
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486782
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The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles
Winkler, Fabian - In: Journal of monetary economics 114 (2020), pp. 42-58
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494857
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Genetic algorithm learning in a New Keynesian macroeconomic setup
Hommes, Cars H.; Makarewicz, Tomasz; Massaro, Domenico; … - In: Journal of evolutionary economics : JEE 27 (2017) 5, pp. 1133-1155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895220
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Uncertainty, imperfect information, and expectation formation over the firm’s life cycle
Chen, Cheng; Senga, Tatsuro; Sun, Chang; Zhang, Hongyong - In: Journal of monetary economics 140 (2023), pp. 60-77
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487410
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Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?
Gibbs, Christopher G.; McClung, Nigel - In: Review of economic dynamics 51 (2023), pp. 393-423
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471851
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A note on the representative adaptive learning algorithm
Berardi, Michele; Galimberti, Jaqueson K. - 2014
We compare forecasts from different adaptive learning algorithms and calibrations applied to US real-time data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344932
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The bigger picture : combining econometrics with analytics improves forecasts of movie success
Lehrer, Steven F.; Xie, Tian - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 1, pp. 189-210
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821088
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The random walk versus unbiased efficiency : can we separate the wheat from the chaff?
Moosa, Imad A. - In: Journal of post-Keynesian economics : JPKE 38 (2015) 2, pp. 251-279
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509200