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Are debt sustainability indicators based on time-series data useful for predicting crises?
Mersmann, Katharina; Westermann, Frank - In: FinanzArchiv : European journal of public finance 76 (2020) 2, pp. 146-164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012602323
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The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era : Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?
Brugger, Florian; Kleinert, Jörn - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 46 (2019) 2, pp. 229-248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241948
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Fiscal surprises at the FOMC
Croushore, Dean Darrell; Van Norden, Simon - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 4, pp. 1583-1595
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305466
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Directional analysis of fiscal sustainability : revisiting Domar's debt sustainability condition
Tsuchiya, Yoichi - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 41 (2016), pp. 189-201
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011624692
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Predictive analysis of fiscal crises with deep learning time series model
Matt, Zhou Ming; Cang, Wang Man - In: International journal of economics and finance 11 (2019) 5, pp. 21-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010499
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Government debt forecast errors and the net expenditure rule in EU countries : undue optimism at a cost
Cronin, David; McQuinn, Kieran - In: Journal of policy modeling : JPMOD ; a social science … 45 (2023) 6, pp. 1113-1131
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014559201
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Forecasting fiscal crises in emerging markets and low-income countries with machine learning models
De Marchi, Raffaele; Moro, Alessandro - In: Open economies review 35 (2024) 1, pp. 189-213
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014515759
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How can independent fiscal institutions make the most of assessing past economic forecasts?
Cameron, Scott - In: OECD journal on budgeting 22 (2022) 1, pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547939
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Official fiscal forecasts in EU member states under the European Semester and Fiscal Compact : an empirical assessment
Cronin, David; McInerney, Niall - In: European journal of political economy 76 (2023), pp. 1-19
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014315331
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Stochastic debt sustainability analysis using time-varying fiscal reaction functions : an agnostic approach to fiscal forecasting
Dubbert, Tore - In: Applied economics 56 (2024) 8, pp. 901-917
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446217