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In this paper, we propose an empirically-based, non-parametric option pricing model to evaluate S&P 500 index options …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005701215
traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
We develop a conditional capital asset pricing model in continuous-time that allows for stochastic beta exposure. When beta co-moves with market variance and the stochastic discount factor (SDF), beta risk is priced, and the expected return on a stock deviates from the security market line. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646407
Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
empirically show that indeed portfolios of long Treasuries and short traded put options ("pseudo bonds") closely match the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145468
including global equities, global bonds, commodities, US Treasuries, credit, and options. This predictability rejects a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083673
This article reviews the literature on American-style derivatives. The presentation stresses some of the major developments in the field. The focus is on the determination of optimal exercise policies and the structure of derivatives’ prices. Illustrative examples highlight the complexity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094544
commodity-exporting countries. We show that the introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577805
literature suggests that even in the absence of any ability to predict returns, holding options positions on the benchmark assets …. The enhancement from holding options can be substantial if the implied volatilities of the options are higher than the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468707
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136573