This paper is concerned with the use of regression methods to predict values of a response variable when that variable is naturally ordered. An application to the prediction of student examination performance is provided and it is argued that, although individual scores are unlikely to be well...

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12078-abs-0001"The parameters of integer autoregressive models with Poisson, or negative binomial innovations can be estimated by maximum likelihood where the prediction error decomposition, together with convolution methods, is used to write down the likelihood function....