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Chapter 1: Why do we forecast? -- Chapter 2: Regression Analysis and Forecasting Models -- Chapter 3: An Introduction to Time Series Modeling and Forecasting -- Chapter 4: Regression Analysis and Multicollinearity: Two Case Studies -- Chapter 5: Multiple Time Series Analysis and Causality...
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This paper develops an optimal trading strategy explicitly linked to an agent's preferences and assessment of the distribution of asset returns. The price of this strategy is a portfolio of implied moments, and its expected excess returns naturally accommodate compensation for higher-order...
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