Past literature suggests that success rates in professional basketball are independent of past performance and this has been interpreted as evidence that the commonly shared belief in Hot Hands (<italic>HH</italic>) is a cognitive illusion. This is often cited as evidence of biased decision making, even when...

This paper investigates the risk structure of interest rates using pure discount bonds. The most striking feature of the authors' estimates of default-risk premia is the resemblance of their time profile to the theoretical time profile obtained by R. C. Merton (1974). Copyright 1989 by American...