The development of collective beliefs via informational and reputational cascades represents a way of shortcircuiting the difficulties related to the collective action of ‘latent groups’ (the problem of co-operation amongst a large group in the absence of coercion) to ensure the promotion of...

This paper emphasizes a method of forecasting electoral outcomes based on the spatial approach of Harold Hotelling and Anthony Downs' basic model of democracy. This method of forecasting the outcome of presidential elections departs from the standard approach that uses regression models of the...